Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Dion Dixon * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Yancy Gates * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Jaquon Parker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cashmere Wright | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | - |
| C. Mbodj | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Wayns * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Dominic Cheek * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Sutton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Bell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tyrone Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter