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2012-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Kilpatrick * 37 5-9 4-6 4-4 6 0 2 0 2 18 15 -
D. Dixon * 34 5-14 1-4 4-4 2 1 3 1 3 15 5 -
C. Wright * 33 2-10 0-4 1-2 5 6 5 0 2 5 9 -
Y. Gates * 31 3-7 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 1 2 10 8 -
J. Parker * 30 2-8 0-1 5-6 11 4 0 0 1 9 15 -
J. Jackson 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 2 1 3 5 -
C. Mbodj 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Guyn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Sanders 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dulkys * 33 3-4 1-2 1-2 3 3 3 0 2 8 11 -
B. James * 32 6-13 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 3 4 12 3 -
L. Loucks * 29 3-5 2-3 6-6 2 4 0 0 4 14 11 -
M. Snaer * 28 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 2 -
X. Gibson * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 2 4 4 -
O. White 27 0-5 0-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
I. Miller 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Peterson 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Kreft 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 3 0 0 -

* = starter