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2012-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 โœ“ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm -22 (54-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Kilpatrick * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 0 3 14 24 -
Dion Dixon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 1 1 10 16 -
Cashmere Wright * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 4 0 4 12 25 -
Jaquon Parker * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 5 11 -
Yancy Gates * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 14 25 -
C. Mbodj 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 5 1 4 14 -
Ge'Lawn Guyn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
Jermaine Sanders 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
Jeremiah Davis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
Justin Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
Kelvin Gaines 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
Alex Eppensteiner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harrison * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 15 17 -
S. Pointer * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 2 1 6 17 -
M. Harkless * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 6 13 -
P. Greene IV * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 8 15 -
A. Garrett * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 7 6 -
G. Achiuwa 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
S. Sealy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter