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2012-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +1.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 37 0-11 0-7 4-4 3 3 1 1 0 4 1 -
P. Siva * 34 7-13 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 14 7 -
G. Dieng * 33 5-8 0-0 1-2 13 0 4 1 4 11 17 -
C. Smith * 28 0-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
C. Behanan * 27 3-5 0-1 5-8 7 0 0 1 0 11 14 -
R. Smith 22 3-11 1-3 4-4 1 0 1 0 3 11 -1 -
J. Swopshire 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Ware 4 1-1 0-0 1-3 1 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
Z. Price 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nunez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dixon * 37 3-12 2-5 3-6 5 0 2 3 3 11 6 -
S. Kilpatrick * 36 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 4 0 1 0 12 9 -
Y. Gates * 34 3-8 0-0 4-6 10 2 1 2 4 10 13 -
C. Wright * 32 8-19 6-13 0-1 5 5 1 0 1 22 13 -
J. Parker * 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jackson 20 0-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 1 0 2 8 -
G. Guyn 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
C. Mbodj 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Sanders 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter