Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric * | 37 | 0-11 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Siva * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Smith * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Smith | 22 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ware | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Z. Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nunez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dixon * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Kilpatrick * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Y. Gates * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Wright * | 32 | 8-19 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Parker * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jackson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Guyn | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Mbodj | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Sanders | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter