Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | +23.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +19.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +28 (71-43). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamir Davis * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Demetrice Jacobs * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gary Roberson * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| William Mosley * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Louis Ellis * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| James Hulbin | 17 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Robinson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Stewart | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Brisco | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marvin Frazier | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| O.J. Evans | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Washington | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Yancy Gates * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Cashmere Wright * | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Dion Dixon * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cheikh Mbodj | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Octavius Ellis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jeremiah Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelvin Gaines | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alex Eppensteiner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter