🐻⬇️🏀

California Golden

Also known as: California Golden Bears
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

78.1
PPG
73.8
Opp
+4.3
Margin
44.7%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
78.2%
FT%
34.7
RPG
14.1
APG
10.6
TO
78.4
Pace
80.4
AdjO
69.6
AdjD
#63
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1179 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 972 (#565) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.3 (#65) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +20.7 (#77) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.659 (#82) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.0 More → 0.829 (#69) NetEff +13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.838 (#63) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.842 (#62) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.728 (#63) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.588 (#134) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.859 (#77) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.818 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 32 More → 1152 (#91) RD 107 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 87 - 60
2025-11-06 vs Wright State Raiders W 77 - 67
2025-11-10 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 93 - 65
2025-11-13 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 96 - 99
2025-11-18 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 67 - 57
2025-11-21 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 91 - 67
2025-11-25 vs UCLA Bruins W 80 - 72
2025-12-02 vs Utah Utes W 79 - 72
2025-12-13 vs Northwestern State Demons W 79 - 70
2025-12-19 vs Morgan State Bears W 97 - 50
2025-12-21 vs Columbia Lions W 74 - 56
2025-12-30 vs Louisville Cardinals L 70 - 90
2026-01-02 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 72 - 71
2026-01-07 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 60 - 84
2026-01-10 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 75 - 78
2026-01-14 vs Duke Blue Devils L 56 - 71
2026-01-17 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 84 - 78
2026-01-24 @ Stanford Cardinal W 78 - 66
2026-01-28 @ Florida State Seminoles L 61 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Miami Hurricanes W 86 - 85
2026-02-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 90 - 85
2026-02-07 vs Clemson Tigers L 55 - 77
2026-02-11 @ Syracuse Orange L 100 - 107
2026-02-14 @ Boston College Eagles W 86 - 75
2026-02-21 vs Stanford Cardinal W 72 - 66
2026-02-25 vs SMU Mustangs W 73 - 69
2026-02-28 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 56 - 72
2026-03-04 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 76 - 65
2026-03-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 73 - 80
2026-03-11 @ Florida State Seminoles L 89 - 95
2026-03-18 vs UIC Flames W 91 - 73
2026-03-22 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 75 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Ames D. Ames - 32 31.9 17.1 2.0 2.1 0.6 0.2 1.8 13.4 6.8 106 4.4 7.2 46.5 37.8 87.2 0.69 57.5 52.8
C. Bell C. Bell F 32 28.2 14.4 2.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.2 9.8 7.8 57 2.6 4.7 46.2 40.5 85.8 0.2 63.6 58.2
J. Pippen J. Pippen - 30 30.9 13.8 4.0 4.7 1.9 0.6 2.5 11.2 11.2 64 3.2 4.8 36.5 32.0 81.5 0.56 51.6 43.8
J. Camden J. Camden F 31 31.5 13.7 4.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.0 9.8 10.0 159 6.6 11.2 44.6 39.5 81.1 1.67 61.9 57.9
L. Dort L. Dort - 25 22.9 8.1 7.9 0.8 0.4 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.2 97 4.8 9.8 60.3 0 64.6 0.64 63.1 60.3
R. Petraitis R. Petraitis - 7 16.7 5.3 4.0 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.6 3.4 7.7 23 3.3 8.8 58.3 40.0 63.6 0.28 64.1 62.5
M. Ilic M. Ilic - 32 17.5 3.9 4.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 1.0 2.6 6.9 -43 -1.9 -6.3 56.1 28.6 71.4 -0.21 61.7 57.3
S. Carr S. Carr - 30 16.7 3.7 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.0 5.2 2 0.1 0.4 36.3 24.2 72.0 0.15 48.7 40.7
DJ Campbell DJ Campbell - 21 14.8 3.3 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.6 3.4 2.5 16 1.3 4.1 36.1 42.9 60.0 0.37 45.8 44.4
N. Dorsey N. Dorsey G 29 10.7 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 -25 -1.2 -5.3 40.0 30.6 66.7 -0.23 52.8 51.0
M. Kocanas M. Kocanas C 21 7.1 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.7 -22 -1.6 -12.5 50.0 42.9 40.0 -0.35 54.0 55.4
S. Yeanay S. Yeanay F 9 4.6 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.2 1.2 - - - 36.4 25.0 50.0 - 42.1 40.9
D. Manyiel Dut D. Manyiel Dut - 12 3.8 0.4 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.6 13 1.6 17.5 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.23 42.5 40.0
BJ Fisher BJ Fisher - 6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.3 -3 -0.5 -27.2 33.3 0.0 0 -0.06 33.3 33.3
Jovani Ruff Jovani Ruff G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Marbury II S. Marbury II - 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 -1.0 -2 -0.5 -38.4 0.0 0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Jorell Clark Jorell Clark G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 17 0.9 6.1 - - - 0.45 - -
L. Butler L. Butler - 6 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -6 -1.0 -79.1 0.0 0 0 -0.09 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG