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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Imes 35 0-4 0-3 0-0 8 6 0 0 1 0 9 +1.8
B. Shrewsberry 31 5-17 5-12 6-6 5 1 0 0 0 21 10 +9.7
J. Haralson 31 5-9 2-3 5-10 4 4 0 1 2 17 15 -0.4
C. Towt 28 4-4 0-0 0-1 15 2 0 0 1 8 20 +0.8
C. Certa 24 4-10 3-7 5-7 2 0 0 0 1 16 7 -4.3
G. Sundra 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9
K. Njie 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.4
S. Mohammed 9 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 +2.3
B. Koehler 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -5.7
M. Zackery IV 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ames 34 9-16 4-9 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 23 10 -3.7
J. Camden 31 1-10 1-9 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 0 -2.6
C. Bell 31 5-11 1-7 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 15 8 +4.0
J. Pippen 29 4-11 3-8 3-5 4 3 1 0 0 14 11 -1.6
L. Dort 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 4 9 -5.8
N. Dorsey 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -1.4
S. Carr 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 9 +8.5
M. Ilic 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 1 0 7 10 +5.3
M. Kocanas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter