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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -
Points Off/Def 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Noland 34 2-12 1-6 0-0 7 4 1 0 4 5 1 -5.8
B. Thompson 30 3-5 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 2 1 7 7 +4.0
M. Ritter 27 4-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 10 4 -0.3
M. Franklin 24 3-9 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 7 5 -10.9
C. Igoe 22 7-11 0-1 2-3 4 1 0 0 2 16 8 -3.7
G. O'Keefe 22 3-7 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 9 4 -3.5
R. Soulis 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 +5.6
H. Sanders 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -1.1
R. Nweke 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.7

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ames 34 7-14 1-4 6-7 1 2 2 0 0 21 12 +2.5
J. Camden 32 5-12 3-8 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 15 8 +5.3
C. Bell 31 4-9 0-2 4-5 0 0 1 0 1 12 3 -8.5
J. Pippen 25 3-8 2-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 3 8 5 +2.8
L. Dort 25 1-3 0-0 5-8 14 2 0 4 0 7 24 +6.3
S. Carr 22 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 4 3 +8.5
N. Dorsey 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 +10.3
M. Ilic 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 2 11 -1.8

* = starter