Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pippen | 31 | 4-18 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -4 | -6.1 |
| D. Ames | 29 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | -4.0 |
| L. Dort | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -4.1 |
| J. Camden | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.8 |
| C. Bell | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -5.1 |
| S. Carr | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1.1 |
| M. Ilic | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | -4.3 |
| M. Kocanas | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2.0 |
| DJ Campbell | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.1 |
| N. Dorsey | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.0 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schutt | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +12.3 |
| N. Avdalas | 33 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +4.7 |
| A. Hansberry | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +6.7 |
| B. Hammond | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +0.3 |
| C. Gurdak | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Bedford | 25 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +3.9 |
| T. Lawal | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +4.2 |
* = starter