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Charlotte

Also known as: Charlotte
Program History

2005 Team Stats (34 games)

57.8
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
40.2%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
25.6
RPG
13.4
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
66.9
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 794 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 777 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 878 (#12) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ -6.4 (#12) HCA +3.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ -4.7 (#12) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.219 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More โ†’ 0.237 (#13) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More โ†’ 0.236 (#13) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 66.9 More โ†’ 0.361 (#12) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 67.2 More โ†’ 0.403 (#12) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.293 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.300 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 33 More โ†’ 792 (#13) RD 131 | GP 33

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-05-21 vs Washington Mystics L 42 - 60
2005-05-22 @ Indiana Fever L 58 - 68
2005-05-26 vs Phoenix Mercury L 58 - 68
2005-05-28 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 84 - 75
2005-06-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 62 - 69
2005-06-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67 - 73
2005-06-10 @ Detroit Shock L 55 - 69
2005-06-12 vs Seattle Storm L 60 - 62
2005-06-16 vs Indiana Fever L 57 - 60
2005-06-23 vs San Antonio Silver Stars L 49 - 64
2005-06-25 vs New York Liberty W 67 - 61
2005-06-28 vs Washington Mystics L 61 - 66
2005-06-30 @ Washington Mystics L 50 - 65
2005-07-02 @ Houston Comets L 65 - 75
2005-07-07 vs Minnesota Lynx W 66 - 58
2005-07-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59 - 71
2005-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62 - 82
2005-07-17 vs Houston Comets L 55 - 67
2005-07-19 vs Connecticut Sun L 55 - 64
2005-07-22 @ Connecticut Sun L 63 - 73
2005-07-23 vs Indiana Fever L 46 - 63
2005-07-26 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 54 - 64
2005-07-29 @ Seattle Storm L 68 - 79
2005-08-02 @ Washington Mystics L 63 - 65
2005-08-04 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 58 - 76
2005-08-06 vs Detroit Shock W 82 - 73
2005-08-09 @ Detroit Shock L 64 - 71
2005-08-12 vs New York Liberty L 74 - 82
2005-08-14 @ New York Liberty L 65 - 73
2005-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 70 - 84
2005-08-20 @ Indiana Fever L 53 - 62
2005-08-23 vs Detroit Shock W 56 - 49
2005-08-25 @ New York Liberty W 78 - 66
2005-08-27 vs Connecticut Sun L 69 - 78

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Scott Hazelton Scott Hazelton - 29 33.7 13.7 5.3 1.3 1.7 1.0 2.8 13.4 6.8 - - - - 41.3 0.0 80.0 - 46.1 41.3
S. Sam S. Sam F 32 31.3 11.6 4.3 2.7 1.3 0.1 3.0 11.2 5.8 - - - - 38.7 32.1 70.8 - 45.7 41.2
Ronald Curry Ronald Curry - 19 30.7 9.4 1.8 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.8 7.6 4.8 - - - - 38.9 46.8 85.7 - 55.8 51.4
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 32 25.1 9.1 5.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 2.1 6.2 8.4 - - - - 50.5 0 70.2 - 57.1 50.5
A. Goodson A. Goodson NA 11 17.5 6.5 3.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.7 6.7 2.4 - - - - 41.9 100.0 60.0 - 44.7 42.6
T. Kostic T. Kostic NA 21 28.8 6.1 2.1 5.2 1.2 0.0 1.7 5.2 7.8 - - - - 40.9 38.5 76.7 - 51.9 47.7
J. Perkins J. Perkins G 27 15.0 5.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 1.0 5.4 3.0 - - - - 43.4 33.3 63.3 - 46.8 44.5
T. Lewis T. Lewis G 9 14.1 4.0 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 5.8 0.8 - - - - 28.8 0.0 46.2 - 31.2 28.8
Robert Brooks Robert Brooks - 29 19.2 3.7 1.6 2.8 1.4 0.0 1.8 3.0 4.8 - - - - 31.0 31.2 76.8 - 47.9 36.8
T. Miller T. Miller NA 28 10.5 3.6 2.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 2.9 3.5 - - - - 48.1 0 68.6 - 52.9 48.1
K. Mazzante K. Mazzante NA 24 7.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.6 1.0 - - - - 27.0 25.0 80.0 - 38.6 34.9
K. Rasmussen K. Rasmussen NA 3 7.7 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 - - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 75.0 75.0
J. McCarville J. McCarville C 25 11.4 2.0 3.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.3 - - - - 34.0 0 64.0 - 41.0 34.0
A. Walker A. Walker NA 7 9.6 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.3 2.4 - - - - 25.0 0 66.7 - 32.2 25.0
Alvin Green Alvin Green - 8 5.0 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.5 - - - - 23.1 14.3 100.0 - 32.4 26.9
J. Moore J. Moore F 3 10.0 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 - - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2005 Shot Zones

1904 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sutton-Brown27% Hazelton38% Hazelton29% Hazelton38% Hazelton32% Curry50% Curry33% Curry43% Curry45% Sam30%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sutton-Brown22% Hazelton32% Hazelton30% Hazelton31% Sam32% Curry38% Curry33% Curry32% Curry22% Sam21%
Misses: who misses most here

Scott HazeltonS. SamT. Sutton-BrownRonald Curry

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 334-663 50.4 668 T. Sutton-Brown 27% (182 pts) S. Sam 21% (138 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 22% (73 misses) Scott Hazelton 19% (62 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 121-362 33.4 242 Scott Hazelton 38% (92 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 12% (30 pts) Scott Hazelton 32% (77 misses) S. Sam 13% (31 misses)
Mid-range left 111-293 37.9 222 Scott Hazelton 29% (64 pts) J. Perkins 19% (42 pts) Scott Hazelton 30% (55 misses) S. Sam 25% (46 misses)
Mid-range center 24-75 32.0 48 Scott Hazelton 38% (18 pts) S. Sam 21% (10 pts) Scott Hazelton 31% (16 misses) S. Sam 20% (10 misses)
Mid-range right 77-213 36.2 154 Scott Hazelton 32% (50 pts) S. Sam 29% (44 pts) S. Sam 32% (44 misses) Ronald Curry 15% (20 misses)
Left corner 3 6-19 31.6 18 Ronald Curry 50% (9 pts) K. Mazzante 33% (6 pts) Ronald Curry 38% (5 misses) K. Mazzante 31% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 6-15 40.0 18 Ronald Curry 33% (6 pts) J. Perkins 17% (3 pts) Ronald Curry 33% (3 misses) Robert Brooks 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 37-114 32.5 111 Ronald Curry 43% (48 pts) T. Kostic 19% (21 pts) Ronald Curry 32% (25 misses) S. Sam 19% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 center 22-49 44.9 66 Ronald Curry 45% (30 pts) T. Kostic 23% (15 pts) Ronald Curry 22% (6 misses) T. Kostic 22% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 right 30-101 29.7 90 S. Sam 30% (27 pts) Ronald Curry 20% (18 pts) S. Sam 21% (15 misses) K. Mazzante 18% (13 misses)