Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Derevjanik * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 22 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 18 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 23 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Teana Miller | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 15 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson | 12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Caity Matter | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter