Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -17 (46-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jurgita Streimikyte * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tan White | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jenni Benningfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yolanda Paige | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Teana Miller | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Helen Darling | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Janel McCarville | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter