Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Shereka Wright * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lisa Harrison | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gwen Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Helen Darling | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Teana Miller | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter