Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -3 (57-60). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Miller * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 27 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tan White | 21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Janel McCarville | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Helen Darling | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teana Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter