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2005-07-02

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Houston Comets Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Comets +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tangela Smith * 36 9-23 0-1 1-1 8 0 0 1 1 19 4 -
Sheri Sam * 35 1-8 1-2 3-3 4 5 3 0 3 6 7 -
Allison Feaster * 34 6-9 5-6 0-0 2 5 0 1 1 17 15 -
Dawn Staley * 28 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 5 4 1 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 17 3-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 4 6 1 -
Janel McCarville 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 4 5 -
Jia Perkins 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
Helen Darling 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Kelly Mazzante 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Teana Miller 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 32 6-11 1-1 3-6 3 5 1 0 4 16 10 -
Janeth Arcain * 32 3-7 0-0 6-6 0 4 2 0 2 12 9 -
Michelle Snow * 29 4-7 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 3 1 11 11 -
Dominique Canty * 29 6-9 0-0 2-4 1 2 0 0 4 14 4 -
Kristen Rasmussen * 23 2-3 0-1 2-2 7 0 3 0 1 6 12 -
Adrienne Goodson 14 2-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Sancho Lyttle 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Tari Phillips 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Roneeka Hodges 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter