Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Caity Matter | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Teana Miller | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Janel McCarville | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 33 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 24 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter