Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -18 (42-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murriel Page * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Charlotte Smith * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 15 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Janel McCarville | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Helen Darling | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Teana Miller | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter