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Buffalo

Also known as: Buffalo Bulls, Buffalo
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

70.5
PPG
65.4
Opp
-0.2
Margin
48.6%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
64.5%
FT%
33.0
RPG
18.0
APG
13.5
TO
75.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1199 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1386 (#98) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 989 (#415) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +23.5 (#158) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.3 (#175) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.5 More → 0.142 (#198) NetEff -16.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 66.3 More → 0.543 (#161) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.647 (#189) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.625 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 33 More → 990 (#220) RD 129 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Princeton Tigers L 53 - 57
2012-11-12 @ Florida State Seminoles L 68 - 95
2012-11-15 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 56 - 50
2012-11-16 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks L 58 - 67
2012-11-17 @ Yale Bulldogs T 0 - 0
2012-11-20 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 64 - 71
2012-11-24 vs Mansfield Mountaineers W 76 - 57
2012-11-28 vs Temple Owls L 39 - 54
2012-12-01 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 79 - 82
2012-12-05 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 72 - 52
2012-12-08 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 77 - 67
2012-12-21 @ Washington State Cougars L 54 - 65
2012-12-28 vs Notre Dame College Falcons W 84 - 64
2013-01-02 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 57 - 63
2013-01-09 @ Ohio Bobcats L 68 - 86
2013-01-12 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks L 57 - 58
2013-01-16 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 80
2013-01-19 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 68 - 65
2013-01-23 @ Ball State Cardinals W 66 - 63
2013-01-26 @ Akron Zips L 64 - 68
2013-01-30 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 91 - 73
2013-02-02 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 60 - 71
2013-02-06 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 46 - 65
2013-02-09 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 59 - 54
2013-02-13 vs Toledo Rockets W 75 - 60
2013-02-16 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 79 - 71
2013-02-23 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 64 - 65
2013-02-27 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 81 - 83
2013-03-02 vs Akron Zips W 81 - 67
2013-03-05 vs Ohio Bobcats L 69 - 72
2013-03-08 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 65 - 76
2013-03-11 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 74 - 72
2013-03-13 @ Ball State Cardinals W 76 - 61
2013-03-14 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 70

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. McCrea J. McCrea F 34 30.0 18.0 7.9 2.0 1.3 2.6 2.9 4.5 24.4 60 1.8 2.7 51.3 0 73.5 0.77 174.0 51.3
T. Watson II T. Watson II G 31 34.9 11.3 3.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 1.5 2.6 14.6 - - - 46.2 48.4 88.5 - 190.8 65.0
W. Regan W. Regan F 34 27.3 11.1 4.4 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.5 13.5 111 3.3 5.2 44.7 37.1 65.4 1.21 194.9 52.4
J. Oldham J. Oldham G 11 33.2 10.1 5.3 4.4 1.5 0.5 3.2 2.5 15.9 -7 -0.6 -0.8 35.7 33.3 63.6 0.11 169.0 42.9
J. Skeete J. Skeete G 33 28.1 7.1 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 2.2 3.2 8.9 48 1.5 2.4 40.4 37.0 76.0 0.25 101.7 48.6
A. Nuiriankh A. Nuiriankh G 34 28.5 5.8 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.5 2.0 1.9 10.5 33 1.0 1.7 28.1 22.0 48.1 0.25 129.2 35.2
C. Downing C. Downing C 34 13.8 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.3 1.3 6.3 14 0.4 1.0 73.3 0 69.6 -0.05 174.2 73.3
X. Ford X. Ford F 28 10.2 3.2 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.4 1.0 4.0 -149 -5.3 -16.3 41.4 0 50.0 -1.75 115.0 41.4
R. Thomas-Edwards R. Thomas-Edwards F 30 11.9 1.8 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.4 3.6 -17 -0.6 -1.6 36.4 25.0 72.7 0.13 170.5 40.9
R. Sebuharara R. Sebuharara G 19 9.1 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -22 -1.1 -5.4 40.0 37.5 100.0 -0.4 110.3 55.0
C. Raley-Ross C. Raley-Ross G 25 9.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.6 2.2 -6 -0.2 -1.0 40.0 0.0 33.3 -0.5 91.9 40.0
A. McPhail A. McPhail F 10 3.3 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 -53 -5.3 -20.5 20.0 0 100.0 -0.62 64.3 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG