Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Milwaukee Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Panthers -20 (52-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | +18.9 |
| Will Regan * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +19.4 |
| Jarod Oldham * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +15.5 |
| Javon McCrea * | 27 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 23 | +11.5 |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Tony Watson II | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +6.1 |
| Cameron Downing | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Xavier Ford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.9 |
| Andre McPhail | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Richie Sebuharara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Corey Raley-Ross | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
Milwaukee Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Gulley * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Demetrius Harris * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Kelm * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -4.5 |
| James Haarsma * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Jordan Aaron | 34 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | -12.6 |
| Austin Arians | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Evan Richard | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Thierno Niang | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -9.2 |
| Mitch Roelke | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Ryan Haggerty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Christian Wolf | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Quinton Gustavson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
| J.J. Panoske | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.6 |
* = starter