Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +18 (91-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Randall * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| John Simons * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Olivier Mbaigoto * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Austin Keel * | 13 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Blake Hibbitts | 25 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chris Fowler | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Austin Stewart | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Richardson Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Finis Craddock | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Spencer Krannitz | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zach Saylor | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Watson II * | 37 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 35 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 12-12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Javon McCrea * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Will Regan * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Downing | 23 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Richie Sebuharara | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Ford | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter