Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +3 (68-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Crawford * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Chauncey Orr * | 32 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Cameron Black * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Anthony Henderson * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.8 |
| A'uston Calhoun | 36 | 5-20 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Luke Kraus | 30 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Richaun Holmes | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -7.3 |
| James Erger | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Spencer Parker | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Craig Sealey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Watson II * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Javon McCrea * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 22 | +13.0 |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +3.0 |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Will Regan * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Cameron Downing | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Richie Sebuharara | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Xavier Ford | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5.5 |
* = starter