Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +10 (77-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Mason * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -2.6 |
| Juan'ya Green * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Malcolm Lemmons * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | +0.7 |
| Devon White * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Ameen Tanksley * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -0.5 |
| T.J. Cline | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Tahjere McCall | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Scooter Gillette | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.1 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Regan * | 36 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | +2.9 |
| Jarod Oldham * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 8-13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Javon McCrea * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +4.5 |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Tony Watson II | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Xavier Ford | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Cameron Downing | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.8 |
* = starter