Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +4 (68-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarryn Skeete * | 39 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +15.7 |
| Tony Watson II * | 38 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | +20.9 |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Javon McCrea * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +18.2 |
| Will Regan * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | +29.0 |
| Xavier Ford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Cameron Downing | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Richie Sebuharara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.4 |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abreu * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -15.3 |
| Zeke Marshall * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -14.0 |
| Demetrius Treadwell * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -15.3 |
| Brian Walsh * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -25.5 |
| Nick Harney * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Jake Kretzer | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Chauncey Gilliam | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Deji Ibitayo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Pat Forsythe | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Reggie McAdams | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Carmelo Betancourt | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
* = starter