Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Watson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Will Regan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Javon McCrea * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Corey Raley-Ross | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Downing | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Ford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Richie Sebuharara | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Berry * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Chris Bond * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Zach Fields * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Majok Majok * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Koch | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Posley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter