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Bradley

Also known as: Bradley Braves, Bradley
Program History

2013 Team Stats (5 games)

64.4
PPG
68.5
Opp
-0.8
Margin
43.8%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
80.3%
FT%
31.2
RPG
13.6
APG
13.0
TO
74.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1516 (#66) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1260 (#171) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 948 (#494) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +28.0 (#105) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.9 (#180) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.257 (#98) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.7 More → 0.271 (#147) NetEff -8.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.8 More → 0.245 (#90) AdjNet -9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.7 More → 0.245 (#89) AdjNet -9.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.474 (#335) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.670 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.631 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 35 More → 1060 (#167) RD 104 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 76 - 53
2012-11-12 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 78 - 61
2012-11-17 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 79 - 72
2012-11-20 @ South Florida Bulls L 63 - 82
2012-11-24 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 80 - 57
2012-11-28 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 65
2012-12-01 vs Michigan Wolverines L 66 - 74
2012-12-04 vs George Washington Colonials W 72 - 68
2012-12-17 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 62 - 43
2012-12-19 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 77 - 42
2012-12-22 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 65 - 66
2012-12-23 vs Portland Pilots L 55 - 57
2012-12-29 vs Drake Bulldogs W 67 - 57
2013-01-02 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 66 - 60
2013-01-06 vs Wichita State Shockers L 63 - 69
2013-01-09 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 53 - 68
2013-01-12 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 53 - 84
2013-01-15 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 69 - 66
2013-01-19 vs Missouri State Bears W 69 - 66
2013-01-23 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 56 - 66
2013-01-26 @ Wichita State Shockers L 39 - 73
2013-01-29 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 83 - 77
2013-02-02 @ Creighton Bluejays L 58 - 75
2013-02-05 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 76 - 70
2013-02-10 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 65 - 68
2013-02-13 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 59 - 79
2013-02-16 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 80 - 68
2013-02-20 @ Drake Bulldogs L 84 - 92
2013-02-23 @ UIC Flames W 63 - 62
2013-02-27 vs Creighton Bluejays L 62 - 80
2013-03-02 @ Missouri State Bears L 56 - 64
2013-03-07 vs Drake Bulldogs L 66 - 81
2013-03-20 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 75 - 69
2013-03-23 vs Tulane Green Wave W 77 - 72
2013-03-26 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 77 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
W. Lemon Jr. W. Lemon Jr. G 35 34.3 15.6 4.2 3.8 2.1 0.4 3.7 4.7 17.8 - - - 47.2 36.8 76.5 -0.21 146.9 51.5
D. Simms-Edwards D. Simms-Edwards G 35 33.9 12.3 3.7 2.7 2.5 0.2 1.8 3.6 15.9 -15 -0.4 -0.7 38.9 23.9 76.6 0.86 146.9 43.3
T. Pickett T. Pickett F 35 26.2 11.0 5.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.3 3.2 14.1 -48 -1.4 -2.8 50.9 50.0 77.2 0.03 140.4 51.8
W. Egolf W. Egolf F-C 30 26.5 10.0 5.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.4 2.9 14.4 18 0.6 1.1 48.3 36.4 80.0 0.67 160.3 55.2
J. Eastman J. Eastman G-F 35 30.9 6.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.2 1.2 1.7 11.6 -39 -1.1 -1.6 39.0 24.1 71.4 0.64 171.1 44.9
J. Prosser J. Prosser C 35 18.5 5.5 3.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.5 7.5 -85 -2.4 -5.1 50.0 0 66.7 -0.34 153.4 50.0
J. Crawford J. Crawford G 35 14.6 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.7 -12 -0.4 -0.5 34.4 30.6 100.0 0.34 104.8 43.0
K. Bell K. Bell G 31 9.1 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 2.5 179 5.6 8.9 40.0 25.0 44.4 1.11 105.3 44.0
S. Shayok S. Shayok F 34 8.0 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 3.0 -5 -0.1 -0.5 53.8 0 75.0 0.46 158.6 53.8
J. Gavin J. Gavin G 10 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 17 1.7 14.1 50.0 25.0 100.0 0.28 77.0 56.2
M. Knezevic M. Knezevic F 12 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 105.0 0.0
N. Wells N. Wells C 15 4.5 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 11 0.7 5.7 66.7 0 50.0 0.36 116.0 66.7
D. Harris D. Harris G 8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 2 0.1 0.5 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
M. Alwan M. Alwan G 12 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG