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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 37 4-18 1-8 4-4 10 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
J. Clarke * 31 1-4 0-2 1-2 8 0 2 0 4 3 5 -
C. Hines * 30 3-8 3-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
S. VanDeest * 17 3-4 0-0 4-7 7 1 0 2 1 10 15 -
M. Mason * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Carter 28 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 2 0 -
D. Ugbede 17 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
J. King 14 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
G. Ricks Jr. 13 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Jeffers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simms-Edwards * 37 8-14 2-5 2-3 2 2 8 0 3 20 15 -
W. Lemon Jr. * 36 8-15 2-3 5-8 6 4 2 0 1 23 19 -
J. Eastman * 30 0-2 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 6 -
T. Pickett * 26 3-9 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
W. Egolf * 25 1-6 1-2 2-5 5 1 2 0 0 5 7 -
J. Prosser 24 1-6 0-0 1-3 2 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
K. Bell 14 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
S. Shayok 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Crawford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter