Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington Revolutionaries | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +4 (72-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
George Washington Revolutionaries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Armwood * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -2.3 |
| Patricio Garino * | 31 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Joe McDonald * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -13.2 |
| Lasan Kromah * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | -5.1 |
| Kevin Larsen * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3.1 |
| John Kopriva | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Bryan Bynes | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Kethan Savage | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Nemanja Mikic | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Dwayne Smith | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Paris Maragkos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Lemon Jr. * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +8.6 |
| Jordan Prosser * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +12.3 |
| Jake Eastman * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Tyshon Pickett * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Jalen Crawford | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -7.3 |
| Will Egolf | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Shayok Shayok | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.3 |
* = starter