Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +10 (66-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Lemon Jr. * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Tyshon Pickett * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Jake Eastman * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Will Egolf * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Jalen Crawford | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Jordan Prosser | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Shayok Shayok | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Ka'Darryl Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Ned Cox * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Lewis Jones * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Troy Taylor * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +10.2 |
| D.J. Balentine | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Adam Wing | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Jaylon Moore | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Ryan Sawvell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Jordan Jahr | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter