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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Mike Balado

2022 Team Stats (2 games)

57.5
PPG
67.0
Opp
+2.9
Margin
36.6%
FG%
26.1%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
26.5
RPG
13.0
APG
14.5
TO
77.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1262 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1174 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1019 (#155) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +22.6 (#177) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +9.6 (#213) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.9 More → 0.014 (#326) NetEff -35.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.550 (#179) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.698 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 27 More → 1115 (#135) RD 151 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Harding Bison W 81 - 55
2021-11-12 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 53 - 92
2021-11-15 vs Central Baptist College Mustangs W 90 - 63
2021-11-19 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 72 - 60
2021-11-26 vs Morehead State Eagles L 51 - 75
2021-11-28 vs Kansas City Roos W 66 - 55
2021-12-04 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 95 - 82
2021-12-08 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 84 - 73
2021-12-11 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 82 - 77
2021-12-14 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 62 - 75
2021-12-19 vs Air Force Falcons W 68 - 46
2021-12-21 vs Lyon College Scots W 88 - 66
2022-01-01 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 74 - 56
2022-01-20 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 75 - 70
2022-01-22 vs Texas State Bobcats W 67 - 60
2022-01-27 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers L 54 - 61
2022-01-29 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 73 - 66
2022-02-03 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 59 - 60
2022-02-05 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 67 - 58
2022-02-10 @ Troy Trojans L 77 - 79
2022-02-12 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 51 - 70
2022-02-17 @ Texas State Bobcats L 67 - 84
2022-02-19 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 58 - 49
2022-02-23 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 69 - 74
2022-02-25 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 62 - 60
2022-03-03 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 81 - 77
2022-03-05 @ Georgia State Panthers L 62 - 65

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Small I. Small F 2 31.5 18.0 8.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 2.0 5.0 23.0 149 5.3 7.8 50.0 50.0 100.0 1.13 133.1 55.0
D. Sills D. Sills - 6 29.7 13.2 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.2 3.5 6.5 11.3 66 2.4 3.2 33.3 14.3 84.6 0.46 88.3 35.9
Norchad Omier Norchad Omier - 6 25.3 12.2 10.7 1.0 1.3 2.0 3.8 4.3 19.0 123 4.2 6.0 46.2 0.0 58.3 1.4 116.7 46.2
M. Eaton M. Eaton G 6 30.5 12.0 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.2 1.7 7.3 8.7 117 4.0 5.3 34.1 36.4 78.9 1.22 68.8 38.6
S. Adams S. Adams G 2 31.5 9.0 4.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 3.0 4.5 9.0 208 7.4 11.0 44.4 0.0 83.3 1.68 77.3 44.4
C. Fields C. Fields - 27 30.5 6.9 3.3 4.3 1.1 0.1 2.1 1.3 12.3 80 2.8 3.7 31.4 25.0 62.5 0.52 241.4 34.3
D. Gueye D. Gueye F 1 25.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 -15 -0.5 -1.2 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.1 77.3 66.7
M. Davis M. Davis - 24 17.2 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.4 8.4 -11 -0.4 -1.0 60.6 41.2 72.7 -0.16 190.3 71.2
Antwon Jackson Antwon Jackson F 5 16.6 5.4 2.4 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.8 2.0 6.6 254 7.7 11.0 60.0 0 88.9 -0.38 96.7 60.0
K. Wesley K. Wesley F 11 18.0 5.0 3.8 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 8.9 57 2.0 4.4 54.5 0 100.0 0.01 223.2 54.5
M. Farrington M. Farrington - 26 13.1 4.4 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 5.7 34 1.2 3.5 43.5 40.0 0 0.3 250.0 60.9
Avery Felts Avery Felts G 21 14.9 3.2 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.2 5.3 -23 -1.0 -2.7 40.0 66.7 0 -0.37 670.0 60.0
C. London C. London - 2 11.5 2.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 83.3 50.0
Lazar Grbovic Lazar Grbovic - 7 6.9 2.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 -17 -1.3 -8.2 28.6 0 100.0 -0.49 107.9 28.6
C. Willis C. Willis G 9 12.6 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.7 19 1.2 3.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.08 178.6 0.0
N. Tingling N. Tingling - 8 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 340.9 0
SK Shittu SK Shittu PF 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
D. Cadwell D. Cadwell G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 48 2.0 10.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.73 0.0 0.0
B. Au B. Au G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.03 0.0 0.0
M. Fantina M. Fantina G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -14 -1.4 -11.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.23 0.0 0.0
C. Ndour C. Ndour - 3 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG