Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +17 (84-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sills * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| N. Omier * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| I. Small * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| S. Adams * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Eaton * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Fields * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Davis * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Felts | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Wesley | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Farrington | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Willis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| D. Drinnon | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Ceaser | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Morgan | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Love | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter