Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -9 (49-58). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norchad Omier * | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Desi Sills * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Markise Davis * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Avery Felts | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Keyon Wesley | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm Farrington | 8 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mario Fantina | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Azore * | 37 | 3-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Mwamba * | 23 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Javon Levi * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Carson Bischoff * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nicolas Elame | 27 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Montez Young Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shemar Wilson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandyn Talbot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter