Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 32 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Markise Davis * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Avery Felts * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Norchad Omier * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Malcolm Farrington | 19 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Christian Willis | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mario Fantina | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nicolas Tingling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lazar Grbovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chandler * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| D. Smith * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Manning Jr. * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Thomas * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Goncalves | 26 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Jones | 23 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Kearing | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Anderson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. West | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Shirley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Sizemore | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter