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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Mike Balado

2021 Team Stats (3 games)

76.3
PPG
76.3
Opp
+0.0
Margin
47.6%
FG%
43.6%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
31.0
RPG
14.3
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.8
Adj PPG
72.2
Adj Opp PPG
#256
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 920 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#246) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 969 (#222) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → -6.5 (#254) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -5.3 (#237) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.415 (#211) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.261 (#258) AdjNet -9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.258 (#258) AdjNet -9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.380 (#256) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.466 (#202) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 21 More → 922 (#218) RD 155 | GP 21

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Jackson State Tigers - Preview
2020-11-26 @ Central Arkansas Bears - Preview
2020-11-27 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 56 - 70
2020-11-29 @ Morehead State Eagles L 61 - 69
2020-12-02 @ Memphis Tigers L 54 - 83
2020-12-04 vs Crowley's Ridge Pioneers W 115 - 49
2020-12-09 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 74 - 75
2020-12-11 vs Central Baptist Mustangs W 81 - 69
2020-12-16 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - Preview
2020-12-18 vs Freed Hardeman Lions - Preview
2020-12-20 vs Champion Christian Tigers W 90 - 50
2021-01-01 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 72 - 84
2021-01-02 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 55 - 62
2021-01-08 @ Texas State Bobcats - Postponed
2021-01-09 @ Texas State Bobcats - Preview
2021-01-15 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 74 - 72
2021-01-16 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 93 - 72
2021-01-22 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 68 - 81
2021-01-23 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 74 - 77
2021-01-29 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 75
2021-01-30 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 64 - 65
2021-02-05 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 95 - 87
2021-02-06 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 83 - 77
2021-02-12 vs Little Rock Trojans W 73 - 62
2021-02-13 @ Little Rock Trojans W 67 - 65
2021-02-16 @ Texas State Bobcats - Preview
2021-02-19 vs Texas State Bobcats - Preview
2021-02-20 vs Texas State Bobcats - Preview
2021-02-22 vs Texas State Bobcats L 52 - 57
2021-02-26 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 71 - 73
2021-02-27 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 56 - 64
2021-03-05 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 62 - 58
2021-03-06 @ Georgia State Panthers L 68 - 71

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marquis Eaton Marquis Eaton G 4 32.0 19.5 4.8 4.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 9.2 18.0 -32 20 -1.6 -2.0 51.4 40.0 88.5 2.27 80.5 56.8
D. George D. George F 1 21.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 22.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Fields Caleb Fields - 24 29.9 11.0 3.1 3.5 0.9 0.0 2.3 1.8 14.4 -94 20 -4.7 -6.3 43.2 33.3 66.7 -4.14 247.0 48.9
J. West J. West G 1 36.0 9.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Beyers M. Beyers F 1 16.0 9.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Norchad Omier Norchad Omier - 3 28.0 8.3 12.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 2.3 7.0 15.3 -55 19 -2.9 -4.3 57.1 0.0 20.0 -1.48 53.9 57.1
Malcolm Farrington Malcolm Farrington - 20 17.2 7.4 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.4 7.1 26 17 1.5 3.7 41.4 45.0 77.8 1.69 224.5 56.9
Keyon Wesley Keyon Wesley F 4 20.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 1.0 0.5 2.0 4.0 4.5 -28 19 -1.5 -2.7 37.5 0 50.0 0.2 64.8 37.5
Markise Davis Markise Davis - 18 14.1 5.2 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.3 6.3 -36 15 -2.4 -6.7 47.8 53.8 66.7 -2.2 172.5 63.0
Avery Felts Avery Felts G 23 13.9 4.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.3 6.0 -10 19 -0.5 -1.6 62.5 50.0 55.6 0.2 393.0 81.2
Tim Holland Tim Holland F 2 15.5 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 9.0 -21 8 -2.6 -8.0 100.0 0 100.0 -1.23 212.8 100.0
Jannson Williams Jannson Williams F 1 21.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christian Willis Christian Willis G 3 17.3 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 2.3 -34 18 -1.9 -3.4 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.45 42.9 25.0
Caleb London Caleb London - 23 10.7 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 3.8 -20 19 -1.1 -4.3 25.0 0.0 0 -1.37 216.7 25.0
Antwon Jackson Antwon Jackson F 4 14.8 2.2 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 2.0 3.5 -30 20 -1.5 -4.4 50.0 0 0 -2.34 56.2 50.0
C. Ndour C. Ndour F 2 5.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Thomas L. Thomas G 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Early David Early - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG