Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (73-62). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coupet * | 34 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Ruot Monyyong * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Nikola Maric * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Palermo * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marko Andric * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ White | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marko Lukic | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jovan Stulic | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Admir Besovic | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Norchad Omier * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Keyon Wesley * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Christian Willis * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Avery Felts | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Malcolm Farrington | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb London | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Markise Davis | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lazar Grbovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter