Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1 (64-65). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Griffin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Phillips * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Mwamba * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nicolas Elame | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tre Jones | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Davis Steelman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Fredelin De La Cruz | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandyn Talbot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Farrington | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Avery Felts | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Caleb London | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter