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Jackson State Tigers 12-6
@
2020-11-25
Arkansas State Red Wolves 11-13

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Arkansas Sta... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 40.3% (#192) 59.7% (#207) Arkansa... -1.7 70-71
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 59.4% (#153) 40.6% (#246) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 30.1% (#281) 69.9% (#254) Arkansa... -4.6 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 57.0% (#100) 43.0% (#211) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 41.7% (#267) 58.3% (#258) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 41.0% (#268) 59.0% (#258) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 38.5% (#274) 61.5% (#256) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Jackson State Tigers Arkansas Sta...
Games 13 23
PPG 67.1 72.7
FG% 39.2% 45.0%
3PT% 33.6% 37.9%
FT% 69.8% 72.6%
RPG 36.6 36.7
APG 11.0 14.5
SPG 8.0 6.5
BPG 3.5 2.8
TOPG 15.8 13.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Jackson State Tigers Arkansas Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 95.5
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 104.5
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 -9.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6

Arkansas State Red Wolves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Marquis Eaton 14.1 3.1 5.0 1.0 0.3 31.7
Caleb Fields 11.0 3.1 3.5 0.9 0.0 29.9
Norchad Omier 12.4 12.0 0.7 1.1 1.4 26.4
Christian Willis 7.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 22.9
Keyon Wesley 7.5 4.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 21.9