🐻⬇️🏀

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Arkansas Sta... Spread
Elo 72.2% (#92) 27.8% (#207) -
Bradley-Terry 69.7% (#86) 30.3% (#246) -
Margin 60.1% (#190) 39.9% (#254) Texas S... -2.3
Pythagorean 58.2% (#88) 41.8% (#211) -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% (#183) 28.9% (#258) -
Log Adjusted 71.1% (#183) 28.9% (#258) -
Points Off/Def 52.0% (#184) 48.0% (#256) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Texas State Bobcats Arkansas Sta...
Games 4 3
PPG 59.5 76.3
FG% 41.3% 47.6%
3PT% 31.5% 43.6%
FT% 66.0% 72.6%
RPG 30.5 31.0
APG 12.8 14.3
SPG 8.0 5.7
BPG 3.5 2.7
TOPG 13.8 12.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Texas State Bobcats Arkansas Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 99.0 95.5
Adj. Def Eff 101.0 104.5
Adj. Net Eff -2.1 -9.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Texas State Bobcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Harrell 14.0 3.3 3.2 1.1 0.1 36.2
S. Adams 8.4 4.8 0.8 1.6 0.0 31.0
I. Small 10.8 4.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 29.6
C. Asberry 10.7 3.9 2.0 1.2 0.2 26.6
M. Davis 0.8 2.3 5.0 2.5 0.0 25.3

Arkansas State Red Wolves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Eaton 19.5 4.8 4.5 1.0 0.0 32.0
C. Fields 11.0 3.1 3.5 0.9 0.0 29.9
N. Omier 8.3 12.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 28.0
K. Wesley 5.8 2.5 0.8 1.0 0.5 20.8
C. Willis 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 17.3