Texas State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
89.8
PPG
62.8
Opp
+27.0
Margin
55.0%
FG%
43.6%
3P%
75.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
15.8
APG
15.3
TO
71.7
Est. poss./game
70.1
Adj PPG
66.1
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1194 (#76) | Preseason prior 1172 (returning production + recruiting): last season 972, returning +119, transfers +100, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1141 (#62) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1139 (#61) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#93) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#93) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.805 (#75) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.678 (#86) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.685 (#88) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.629 (#84) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.628 (#84) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.700 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.700 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1175 (#63) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.687 (#84) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Howard Payne Yellow Jackets | W | 135 - 66 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Incarnate Word Cardinals | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Djobet
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 86 | 4 | 21.5 | 31.7 | 61.3 | 52.6 | 88.9 | 2.18 | 80.1 | 77.4 |
Dj Hall
|
F | 4 | 26.8 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.0 | 11.5 | 76 | 4 | 19.0 | 28.6 | 47.2 | 45.5 | 82.4 | 1.81 | 60.9 | 54.2 |
Robert Fields
|
C | 4 | 23.2 | 10.8 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 13.2 | 56 | 4 | 14.0 | 24.1 | 77.8 | 0 | 65.2 | 1.14 | 76.5 | 77.8 |
Dimp Pernell
|
G | 4 | 22.2 | 10.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 43 | 4 | 10.8 | 19.3 | 51.7 | 28.6 | 87.5 | 0.01 | 63.0 | 58.6 |
King Sanders
|
F | 1 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 11.3 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.42 | 65.4 | 60.0 |
Ronald Jessamy
|
F | 4 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 8.8 | 52 | 4 | 13.0 | 64.3 | 82.4 | 0 | 80.0 | 1.79 | 84.1 | 82.4 |
Kj Younger
|
G | 4 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 33 | 4 | 8.2 | 27.1 | 50.0 | 55.6 | 77.8 | -0.07 | 66.8 | 62.5 |
Quel'Ron House
|
G | 4 | 17.0 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 30 | 4 | 7.5 | 17.6 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.42 | 54.0 | 43.8 |
Caleb Steger
|
G | 4 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 58 | 4 | 14.5 | 61.3 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.07 | 85.2 | 81.8 |
Kaden Gumbs
|
G | 4 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 43 | 4 | 10.8 | 20.2 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.73 | 46.3 | 42.9 |
Ky Pernell
|
G | 4 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 4 | 6.5 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.57 | 69.7 | 62.5 |
Randy Livingston Jr.
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 28 | 1 | 28.0 | 80.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
Kole Grandison
|
F | 4 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 33.3 | -0.54 | 59.0 | 62.5 |
David Abisogun
|
F | 3 | 10.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.91 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Mark Drone
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
218 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Paul DjobetDj HallDimp PernellRobert FieldsKj YoungerCaleb StegerQuel'Ron HouseKaden GumbsKy Pernell
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 54-76 | 71.1 | 108 | Robert Fields 22% (24 pts) | Ronald Jessamy 20% (22 pts) | Dj Hall 23% (5 misses) | Kj Younger 14% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-34 | 55.9 | 38 | Quel'Ron House 16% (6 pts) | Ronald Jessamy 16% (6 pts) | Dj Hall 20% (3 misses) | Quel'Ron House 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-10 | 40.0 | 8 | Dj Hall 50% (4 pts) | Dimp Pernell 25% (2 pts) | Dj Hall 67% (4 misses) | Kj Younger 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Quel'Ron House 50% (4 pts) | Dj Hall 25% (2 pts) | Dimp Pernell 33% (1 misses) | Ky Pernell 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-13 | 38.5 | 10 | Dimp Pernell 60% (6 pts) | Dj Hall 20% (2 pts) | Kaden Gumbs 50% (4 misses) | Quel'Ron House 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-14 | 50.0 | 21 | Dimp Pernell 43% (9 pts) | Paul Djobet 43% (9 pts) | Ky Pernell 29% (2 misses) | Paul Djobet 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 6-10 | 60.0 | 18 | Paul Djobet 50% (9 pts) | Caleb Steger 33% (6 pts) | Paul Djobet 50% (2 misses) | Dimp Pernell 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-22 | 40.9 | 27 | Caleb Steger 22% (6 pts) | Ky Pernell 22% (6 pts) | Caleb Steger 31% (4 misses) | Dj Hall 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Dimp Pernell 25% (3 pts) | Kaden Gumbs 25% (3 pts) | Dimp Pernell 40% (2 misses) | Kaden Gumbs 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-23 | 34.8 | 24 | Kj Younger 50% (12 pts) | Dj Hall 25% (6 pts) | Dimp Pernell 27% (4 misses) | Paul Djobet 20% (3 misses) |