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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: John Brady

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

85.3
PPG
91.7
Opp
-6.3
Margin
44.7%
FG%
39.7%
3P%
61.8%
FT%
36.0
RPG
18.0
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.8
Adj PPG
71.8
Adj Opp PPG
#152
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1029 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1015 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1002 (#169) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.8 (#158) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.7 (#182) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#111) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.4 More → 0.513 (#162) AdjNet +0.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.513 (#162) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.522 (#152) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.504 (#169) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.510 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.507 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 30 More → 994 (#171) RD 127 | GP 30

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-11 @ Jackson State Tigers W 65 - 61
2013-11-13 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 72 - 62
2013-11-16 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 64 - 85
2013-11-18 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 70 - 93
2013-11-24 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 99 - 56
2013-11-30 @ Lamar Cardinals W 95 - 89
2013-12-02 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 86 - 61
2013-12-14 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 67 - 79
2013-12-17 vs Toledo Rockets L 65 - 78
2013-12-21 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 83 - 82
2013-12-30 vs Southern Arkansas Muleriders W 91 - 66
2014-01-02 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 82 - 66
2014-01-04 @ Texas State Bobcats W 74 - 69
2014-01-09 vs Troy Trojans L 84 - 98
2014-01-11 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 72 - 60
2014-01-16 @ Georgia State Panthers L 72 - 73
2014-01-18 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 77 - 82
2014-01-25 vs Little Rock Trojans W 77 - 49
2014-01-30 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 65 - 72
2014-02-01 @ Troy Trojans W 83 - 73
2014-02-04 vs Lyon Scots - Postponed
2014-02-10 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 72 - 58
2014-02-13 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 85 - 61
2014-02-15 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 67 - 85
2014-02-20 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 60
2014-02-22 vs Texas State Bobcats W 73 - 68
2014-02-25 vs Lyon Scots W 65 - 39
2014-03-01 @ Little Rock Trojans L 67 - 74
2014-03-04 vs Georgia State Panthers L 76 - 79
2014-03-06 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 64 - 58
2014-03-08 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 76 - 77
2014-03-14 vs Little Rock Trojans W 116 - 114
2014-03-15 @ Georgia State Panthers L 45 - 72

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Melvin Johnson Melvin Johnson G 3 35.7 18.3 3.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.3 13.0 10.0 55 26 2.1 3.1 51.3 54.2 50.0 -0.78 67.5 67.9
Kirk Van Slyke Kirk Van Slyke F 3 34.0 14.3 7.3 2.3 0.7 2.0 1.7 8.7 16.3 135 26 5.2 7.2 46.2 33.3 77.3 2.51 60.3 50.0
Brandon Reed Brandon Reed G 3 29.0 11.7 2.3 2.7 1.3 0.0 1.0 10.0 7.0 74 26 2.8 4.9 40.0 20.0 50.0 -0.47 47.2 45.0
Edward Townsel Edward Townsel G 24 29.6 10.5 3.8 2.4 1.2 0.1 1.3 1.9 14.8 88 26 3.4 5.1 40.0 30.4 57.1 -0.67 261.0 47.8
Kendrick Washington Kendrick Washington F 22 31.4 9.7 7.0 2.0 0.7 0.6 2.1 1.4 16.5 90 24 3.8 5.1 51.6 0.0 60.0 1.1 268.8 51.6
Cameron Golden Cameron Golden G 24 24.3 8.2 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.1 1.5 1.1 11.9 80 26 3.1 5.3 38.5 30.0 25.0 0.04 353.0 50.0
Raeford Worsham Raeford Worsham G 6 15.3 7.5 2.7 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 11.0 37 5 7.4 22.0 33.3 0.0 75.0 1.16 472.7 33.3
Rakeem Dickerson Rakeem Dickerson G 24 18.7 5.3 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.5 8.7 97 26 3.7 8.6 27.3 66.7 54.5 1.43 400.9 36.4
Kelvin Downs Kelvin Downs F 24 14.0 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 5.0 22 26 0.8 2.7 75.0 0 75.0 -2.39 546.9 75.0
Josh Pierre Josh Pierre - 6 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Seth Kisler Seth Kisler F 12 5.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.6 -23 16 -1.4 -10.3 50.0 100.0 0 -3.96 450.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG