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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% +0.9 โœ— (1.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1 (76-77). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Long * 39 8-16 1-4 8-9 11 0 1 3 3 25 21 -
Elfrid Payton * 38 6-14 2-4 3-9 8 6 3 1 6 17 15 -
Bryant Mbamalu * 31 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
Xavian Rimmer * 23 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
Elridge Moore * 23 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 1 1 3 10 -
Kevin Brown 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
J.J. Davenport 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Steven Wronkoski 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Hayward Register 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendrick Washington * 40 4-8 0-1 1-3 11 0 2 1 3 9 12 -
Ed Townsel * 38 6-13 2-3 9-9 2 3 1 0 0 23 16 -
Melvin Johnson III * 37 9-17 6-8 4-5 6 1 2 0 2 28 18 -
Kirk Van Slyke * 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 4 4 -
Brandon Reed * 16 1-4 0-1 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
Rakeem Dickerson 27 2-6 1-1 3-6 3 3 0 0 3 8 5 -
Kelvin Downs 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Cameron Golden 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter