Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals -6 (89-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Van Slyke | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Melvin Johnson | 27 | 9-12 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Reed | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Edward Townsel * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimrod Hilliard * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Rhon Mitchell * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Keilan Blanks * | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Amos Wilson * | 28 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Ross * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Octavious Green | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Sebastian Norman | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Owens | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Holliday | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Preston Mattingly | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter