Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +43 (99-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phabian Glasco * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Jackson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | - |
| DeShone McClure * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Oliver Wells * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Lee * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daouda Berete | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Terry Tidwell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DuShaun Rice | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Williamson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Aubrey Ball | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Drew | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Townsel * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter