Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Washington * | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Edward Townsel * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Fant * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 39 | - |
| T.J. Price * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Chris Harrison-Docks * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Aleksej Rostov * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Caden Dickerson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trency Jackson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Kaspar | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Harris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| O'Karo Akamune | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter