Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +27 (72-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Johnson | 39 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kirk Van Slyke | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Reed | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Edward Townsel * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Seth Kisler | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonta White * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Harrow * | 36 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R.J. Hunter * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Manny Atkins * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Curtis Washington * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Markus Crider | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rashaad Richardson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Shipes | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Hinton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ryann Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LaRon Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter