Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (116-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Isler * | 52 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| D. Smith * | 49 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| B. Dillard * | 42 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. White * | 22 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| M. Hill * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Hagins | 46 | 7-22 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| G. Leeper | 30 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Isom | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| S. Billings | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Van Slyke | 48 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 14-17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| B. Reed | 45 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson III | 41 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 60 | 11-19 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 27 | - |
| R. Dickerson * | 48 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Washington * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| K. Downs | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Golden | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter