Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +23 (83-60). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Edwards * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jamel Outler * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reger Dowell * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Lonnie McClanahan * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jorge Bilbao * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Walker | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille White-Miller | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Vincent Dillard | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Austin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle McElvain | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Van Slyke * | 37 | 7-10 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Ed Townsel * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Melvin Johnson III * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Reed | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 14 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Seth Kisler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter