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Alabama

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama
Program History
Coach: Avery Johnson

2018 Team Stats (11 games)

71.9
PPG
71.2
Opp
+0.7
Margin
48.4%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
65.3%
FT%
35.7
RPG
12.6
APG
15.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.6
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#53
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1280 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1185 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1047 (#103) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +11.2 (#48) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +10.7 (#48) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#129) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.4 More → 0.855 (#53) AdjNet +15.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.5 More → 0.857 (#52) AdjNet +15.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.716 (#53) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.613 (#77) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.750 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.733 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 36 More → 1208 (#42) RD 101 | GP 36

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Memphis Tigers W 82 - 70
2017-11-14 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 86 - 64
2017-11-17 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 104 - 67
2017-11-21 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 77 - 76
2017-11-24 @ BYU Cougars W 71 - 59
2017-11-25 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 84 - 89
2017-11-29 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 77 - 74
2017-12-03 vs UCF Knights L 62 - 65
2017-12-06 vs Rhode Island Rams W 68 - 64
2017-12-09 @ Arizona Wildcats L 82 - 88
2017-12-19 vs Mercer Bears W 80 - 79
2017-12-22 vs Texas Longhorns L 50 - 66
2017-12-30 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 79 - 57
2018-01-02 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 75 - 76
2018-01-06 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 46 - 65
2018-01-09 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 76 - 62
2018-01-13 @ LSU Tigers W 74 - 66
2018-01-17 vs Auburn Tigers W 76 - 71
2018-01-20 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 68 - 62
2018-01-23 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 66 - 78
2018-01-27 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 80 - 73
2018-01-31 vs Missouri Tigers L 60 - 69
2018-02-03 @ Florida Gators W 68 - 50
2018-02-06 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 63 - 67
2018-02-10 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 78 - 50
2018-02-13 vs LSU Tigers W 80 - 65
2018-02-17 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 71 - 81
2018-02-21 @ Auburn Tigers L 71 - 90
2018-02-24 vs Arkansas Razorbacks L 73 - 76
2018-02-27 vs Florida Gators L 52 - 73
2018-03-03 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 66 - 68
2018-03-08 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 71 - 70
2018-03-09 @ Auburn Tigers W 81 - 63
2018-03-10 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 86
2018-03-15 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 86 - 83
2018-03-17 @ Villanova Wildcats L 58 - 81

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Collin Sexton Collin Sexton - 30 29.9 18.7 3.8 3.6 0.9 0.1 2.9 5.2 19.0 75 25 3.0 4.5 45.9 40.0 81.8 3.87 143.6 51.6
John Petty John Petty G 33 28.7 10.8 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.2 2.2 3.6 10.2 45 27 1.7 2.6 40.8 40.0 68.8 1.35 140.5 56.7
Donta Hall Donta Hall - 31 24.5 10.7 6.6 0.6 0.7 2.2 1.4 2.7 16.8 99 25 4.0 7.2 78.3 0 67.9 3.32 174.7 78.3
Dazon Ingram Dazon Ingram G 33 29.0 9.9 5.8 2.5 0.9 0.3 2.3 3.1 14.0 19 26 0.7 1.1 41.7 24.0 66.3 -1.47 117.2 44.7
Braxton Key Braxton Key - 24 25.4 7.2 5.3 1.8 1.0 0.5 1.8 2.5 11.7 -17 18 -0.9 -1.7 47.5 22.7 68.2 1.37 126.7 51.7
Avery Johnson Avery Johnson G 31 14.1 4.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.7 4.7 2 27 0.1 0.2 37.0 27.3 75.0 -0.93 119.8 42.6
Daniel Giddens Daniel Giddens C 31 13.0 4.5 2.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.2 6.5 -25 25 -1.0 -3.2 52.8 0 57.1 -1.35 163.7 52.8
Herb Jones Herb Jones - 32 21.3 4.2 3.6 1.4 1.3 0.6 1.6 1.9 7.7 10 26 0.4 0.8 43.3 16.7 37.5 -1.12 95.0 44.2
Alex Reese Alex Reese - 29 12.0 4.1 2.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.2 6.0 26 23 1.1 4.5 38.9 35.0 62.5 0.77 150.6 48.6
Riley Norris Riley Norris G 8 17.6 3.8 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.5 5.2 25 6 4.2 9.0 41.7 25.0 33.3 2.27 112.6 45.8
Galin Smith Galin Smith F 30 11.5 2.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.0 3.7 28 26 1.1 4.1 65.5 0 27.3 1.4 119.7 65.5
Landon Fuller Landon Fuller - 2 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lawson Schaffer Lawson Schaffer G 12 4.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.3 2 10 0.2 1.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.68 133.3 0.0
Tyler Barnes Tyler Barnes F 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG