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2018-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +19 (90-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Sexton * 32 8-12 2-4 7-8 5 2 0 0 5 25 15 -
D. Ingram * 28 2-5 1-3 4-6 6 2 1 0 2 9 11 -
J. Petty Jr. * 25 1-9 1-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 3 -3 -
D. Hall * 23 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 4 1 7 12 -
D. Giddens * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Key 26 4-5 1-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 4 11 12 -
A. Johnson Jr. 24 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 10 8 -
A. Reese 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
H. Jones 12 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Schaffer 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Okeke 34 6-11 2-3 2-2 10 3 2 2 1 16 21 -
M. Dunbar 25 6-10 2-5 0-3 7 0 2 0 1 14 12 -
P. Keim 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Harper * 37 4-10 3-7 10-11 2 6 4 0 3 21 20 -
B. Brown * 35 5-17 3-14 5-6 2 1 2 0 2 18 4 -
D. Murray * 30 3-12 0-2 3-4 8 4 2 1 1 9 11 -
M. Dunbar * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 14 22 -
H. Spencer * 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 3 0 4 13 -
D. Mitchell 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 8 6 -

* = starter