Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 18 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Brown * | 32 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Harper * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Heron * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Murray * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| H. Spencer | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 18 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ingram * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 33 | 9-14 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| B. Key * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| H. Jones * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Giddens * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Smith | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Reese | 15 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Hall | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Johnson Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Schaffer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter