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2018-02-13

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Mays * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 0 13 26 -
Daryl Edwards * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 21 26 -
Aaron Epps * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 7 -
Duop Reath * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 5 10 -
Tremont Waters * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 4 0 1 5 13 -
Brandon Sampson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 5 8 -
Randy Onwuasor 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 7 8 -
Brandon Rachal 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
Wayde Sims 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Marshall Graves 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Petty * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 11 14 -
Dazon Ingram * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 7 12 -
Donta Hall * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 2 1 20 31 -
Collin Sexton * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 6 1 0 3 15 19 -
Daniel Giddens * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
Braxton Key 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 12 19 -
Herb Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 2 10 -
Avery Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Alex Reese 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Galin Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Lawson Schaffer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Tyler Barnes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter